The End of Sprawl
So, yesterday Obama said something about the age of sprawl being over. This got the urbanist community all aflutter. I think it’s nice to have things like that said, but I’ve also heard Obama say enough things like that that it’s no longer personally uplifting. I’m waiting, at this point, for the meat.
But the declaration leads the Wire to ask just what counts as sprawl. I think sprawl is used to capture to separate concepts, which serve to be treated separately. One is compactness; the other, dispersion. Or to put it another way, one is neighborhood density; the other, regional density.
You can have a metropolitan area contained in a relatively small geographic space which is also sprawling — a good example would be Los Angeles. And you can also have a highly dispersed metropolitan area with compact neighborhoods. This was the dominant development pattern in the age of the railway, when small, walkable towns grew up around rail stations. And you can have other combinations as well.
We should be less concerned about regional density, which is heavily influenced by economic and geographic variables. Economic areas in the northeast are quite thick with population centers, while the Midwest is more dispersed, and the Mountain west is highly dispersed. There’s only so much policymakers can or should do to influence these outcomes. (Though as I have mentioned often at this site, we can reduce economic distances between remote places with better infrastructure, which would be productivity improving).
But neighborhood density is highly determined by policy variables, and is properly considered “sprawl.” I don’t think there’s any special trick to addressing compactness. If you price roads properly, neighborhoods will be more compact. If you increase gas taxes, they’ll be more compact. If you remove regulations that prevent compact development, they’ll be more compact. And if you tailor infrastructure toward compact building, they’ll be more compact. Some of these variables are more important than others. Transit construction alone doesn’t generate compactness if land-use controls are awry and negative externalities are unpriced.
But there’s no reason to look at sprawl as an uncontrollable or unfathomable occurence. We get it because we planned for it. If we tolled congested highways and increased the gas tax by $1 per gallon, then in a decade’s time, new neighborhoods would be much more compact.
February 11th, 2009 at 11:26 am
Sprawl, to me, is a combination of density, autodependency, land use segregation, and connectivity. Those are the four key factors, covering the raw density of an area, the uses, the transport, and the design.
February 11th, 2009 at 12:00 pm
well, it’s a step to have a president who at least recognizes that there is a problem. I don’t know if the quite gets the solution and is willing to spend the political capital required. We will see.
February 11th, 2009 at 12:39 pm
I agree that we should worry less about “regional density” and more about “neighborhood density.” Glaeser seems to say that regulations restricting regional density are partially to blame for more volatile housing prices.
So, if we have fewer regional density regulations but more neighborhood density regulations, we should have both more walkable urban neighborhoods and a less volatile housing market.
February 11th, 2009 at 4:06 pm
Ditto Cavan.
Having a president actually say these things *is* a big deal. Just the fact that good cities are enough of a national priority for the president to make mention… that hasn’t happened in a long time.
But eventually the time will come to put up or shut up. The stim bill isn’t necessarily that time, but the TEA bill definitely is, as is climate change. If Obama can’t do better on them then it will be time to get depressed.
February 12th, 2009 at 10:35 am
Washington state has a law that limits development to an urban growth boundary in order to prevent sprawl.