Sprawled Out
- Posted by ryan on February 7th, 2008 filed in Cities
Matt linked to my post on Tuesday about the sad state of imploding Sunbelt cities like Phoenix. A commenter at his site argued that the problems Matt and I described were not Sunbelt phenomenon, but were limited to places absorbing overflow from California’s super pricey markets. Not quite. Over at Angry Bear, rdan links to a Forbes piece showing that the foreclosure mess has hit plenty of other Sunbelt areas as well, including Nevada and Colorado, Florida and Georgia. (Also the Midwest, but that’s a slightly different economic situation).
To be really accurate about all this, however, one should say that’s it not a Sunbelt thing, it’s an exurb thing. There aren’t really any metropolitan areas in the country that have been immune to these housing problems (although the Pacific Northwest and Charlotte have come close), but within just about every city, the problems are focused on the outer edges. This isn’t surprising. Families forced to the outer edges of cities are the most financially marginal, and they’re also those whose budgets are most affected by rising energy costs.
February 7th, 2008 at 6:26 pm
I’m skeptical that rising energy costs have anything to do with it. Financially marginal households making bets on rapid appreciation, sure.
February 7th, 2008 at 10:03 pm
Well, rising energy costs certainly have something to do with it, it’s just a question of how much. Gasoline prices increased something like 30 percent last year, while electricity and natural gas prices rose anywhere from 30 to 50 percent, in general (70 percent in some Washington area markets). For a family that got an interest only ARM for six times its annual income in a market suffering 20 percent price declines, no, energy costs didn’t make the difference. For others? Sure. That’s a lot of lost disposable income.